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AI Predictions for the 2024 Super Ballon d’Or Winner:

Brahim Benrais, 29/10/202430/10/2024
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The Super Ballon d’Or is a prestigious award that celebrates the most exceptional football players in the world. As the 2024 edition approaches, artificial intelligence (AI) has begun to play a crucial role in predicting the winner by analyzing vast amounts of data and player performances. This article examines the leading contenders for the award, including Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo, Kylian Mbappé, and Erling Haaland.

  1. The Role of AI in Sports Predictions

AI employs machine learning algorithms, extensive datasets, and predictive analytics to forecast outcomes in sports. For the Super Ballon d’Or, AI analyzes various metrics, assessing players’ performances throughout the season. Key factors include individual statistics, contributions to their teams, and advanced metrics such as Expected Goals (xG) and overall player impact.

  1. Data Collection: From Basic Stats to Advanced Metrics

To make accurate predictions, AI systems rely on comprehensive data collection:

Basic Statistics: Goals, assists, pass accuracy, and dribbling success are foundational metrics.

Advanced Metrics: AI examines Expected Goals (xG), Expected Assists (xA), pressing efficiency, and shot-creation actions.

Qualitative Data: Factors like leadership, influence on matches, and public perception gathered from social media and news articles also contribute to AI assessments.

  1. Machine Learning Models for Prediction

Once data is collected, AI utilizes various machine learning models to analyze it and make predictions. Models frequently employed include:

Random Forests: This model combines predictions from multiple decision trees to enhance accuracy.

Neural Networks: These networks identify complex patterns within large datasets, making them effective for sports predictions.

Logistic Regression: Often used for binary classifications, this model helps determine likely candidates for the award.

  1. Key Contenders for 2024

As the 2024 Super Ballon d’Or approaches, several players stand out as frontrunners:

Lionel Messi: With his unparalleled skill and recent performances, Messi remains a top contender. His ability to influence matches and his consistent goal-scoring record make him a favorite.

Cristiano Ronaldo: Despite being in the twilight of his career, Ronaldo’s impressive statistics and knack for scoring crucial goals keep him in the conversation for the award.

Kylian Mbappé: The young French superstar has emerged as one of the most exciting talents in football. His speed, technical ability, and goal-scoring prowess position him as a potential winner.

Erling Haaland: The Norwegian striker’s remarkable goal-scoring record and physical attributes have garnered attention worldwide. If he continues to perform at his current level, he could easily be a strong candidate.

  1. Predictive Factors Considered by AI

AI takes into account several core factors when predicting the Super Ballon d’Or winner:

Consistency Over Seasons: Candidates must demonstrate elite performance over multiple seasons.

Team Success: Achievements such as winning leagues or international tournaments significantly influence chances.

Player Efficiency: How effectively players perform under pressure is vital.

Peer Comparison: AI normalizes player statistics against their contemporaries to assess their relative impact.

  1. Potential Limitations of AI Predictions

Despite its capabilities, AI predictions have limitations:

Data Quality: Inaccurate or incomplete data can lead to skewed results.

Human Factors: Injuries, personal issues, and motivation are challenging to quantify.

Subjectivity: Awards like the Super Ballon d’Or often incorporate subjective elements, such as public and media perceptions, which may not align with raw data.

Conclusion: The Future of AI in Football Awards

The integration of AI into sports analytics is transforming how we predict the winners of prestigious awards like the Super Ballon d’Or. By analyzing vast datasets and employing advanced algorithms, AI offers unique insights into potential candidates, enhancing our understanding of player performances. As approach the 2024 Super Ballon d’Or, Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo, Kylian Mbappé, and Erling Haaland are among the top contenders, showcasing the incredible talent present in football today.

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Brahim Benrais

Développeur en Intelligence Artificielle | Étudiant en Brevet de Technicien Supérieur en Intelligence Artificielle (BTS DIA)

Centre de Préparation BTS Lycée Qualifiant El Kendi

Direction Provinciale Hay Hassani

Académies Régionales d’Éducation et de Formation Casablanca-Settat (AREF)

Ministère de l'Éducation Nationale, du Préscolaire et des Sports

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